Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.966805 3.127131 3.296530 3.489728 3.705074 3.939047 4.214298
2025-08-17 2.617796 2.819269 3.041129 3.306087 3.617390 3.976152 4.428004
2025-08-24 2.393816 2.620070 2.877224 3.195764 3.586684 4.060827 4.696615
2025-08-31 2.256272 2.504443 2.794479 3.165884 3.640771 4.246448 5.113244
2025-09-07 2.114415 2.371048 2.677184 3.079151 3.609780 4.314610 5.380735
2025-09-14 1.995610 2.256423 2.572809 2.997020 3.572526 4.364917 5.626444
2025-09-21 1.894539 2.156864 2.479570 2.920004 3.531827 4.401606 5.853737
2025-09-28 1.845911 2.119220 2.461302 2.938712 3.622383 4.636391 6.444822
2025-10-05 1.849014 2.146268 2.526938 3.074495 3.892612 5.183275 7.734789
2025-10-12 1.808052 2.113460 2.510368 3.092707 3.988097 5.463477 8.617372
2025-10-19 1.767924 2.079345 2.489389 3.101857 4.068817 5.729733 9.574583
2025-10-26 1.737998 2.057027 2.482748 3.130580 4.182569 6.074224 10.885772
2025-11-02 1.675489 1.993841 2.423640 3.088516 4.195966 6.274515 12.089291
2025-11-09 1.592077 1.899344 2.316429 2.966633 4.062836 6.163810 12.338602
2025-11-16 1.528484 1.829760 2.241763 2.890943 4.004136 6.202512 13.161079
2025-11-23 1.487244 1.789274 2.206802 2.875102 4.050523 6.481463 15.192085
2025-11-30 1.434444 1.730588 2.142485 2.807710 3.995057 6.519307 16.323100
2025-12-07 1.385604 1.675691 2.081298 2.741483 3.935157 6.536397 17.448978
2025-12-14 1.340667 1.624772 2.023859 2.677920 3.874252 6.540643 18.594593
2025-12-21 1.320160 1.607584 2.015607 2.694971 3.971465 6.974691 23.577173
2025-12-28 1.325841 1.627709 2.064064 2.810972 4.284129 8.129466 43.854990
2026-01-04 1.306601 1.610958 2.055143 2.826848 4.390404 8.730843 73.188489
2026-01-11 1.286679 1.592423 2.042453 2.834875 4.480662 9.329493 163.598735